Undervalued stocks are  stocks that is selling for ‘cheap’, or stock which you believe has a true value that is higher than the selling value. The goal is to buy undervalued stocks and sell the stock when it is overvalued to make a profit.

There are several books on the market that discuss how to determine what stocks are undervalued, including “Intelligent Investor”. Graham, the author of “Intelligent Investor” believed that he could predict which stocks would be undervalued based on mathematical calculations, such as low price/earning ratio. Warren Buffet, a famous U.S. billionaire, disagreed with Graham, stating that in order to determine value of stock, a person would need to predict the future profits and future interest rates of an organization and that the business value can be summed up the cash flows over the life of the business discounted at an appropriate interest rate.

Buffet also gained much of his wealth by following a simple plan; an excellent stock at a fair price is a better value than a poor stock at a cheap price. This model requires patience, as the purchaser may have to wait several years for the excellent stock at a fair price to rise in value. Buffet and his partners also needed to consider price/cash flow ratios for success. This is a way of comparing the organization’s market value to the actual cash flow. Another way Buffet was able to troll for the most undervalued stock was to look at the price to book ratio. This measurement looks at the value the market places on the book value of the company. Price/Book = Share Price/Book Value for each Share. Like the price/earning ratio, the lower the price/book ratio, the higher the value of the stock. All of these ratios may seem complex, but there are several website on the market that can help an investor make educated decisions to make a profit. Typically, finding undervalued stock picks, then turning a profit on these stocks can take patience, but the return is worth it in the end.

The Number One Rule of Investing

They say that the number one rule in playing the stock market is never to lose your money.  This is reinforced by the second rule of investing which is to see rule number one.  If these rules are so important, then why don’t so many investors take heed and invest foolishly on companies they don’t understand?  In fact, if more people could control their buying impulses, it would not only save them money but it would allow them to buy shares in better companies if they only did their research.

There is perhaps no other man that exemplifies this iron discipline of investing better than Warren Buffett.  As CEO of the investment holding company Berkshire Hathaway, he has more than 40 billion dollars at his disposal to invest.  During the darkest days of the credit crunch, it was reported that CEOs of banks would phone Buffett to bail them out.  However, these banks did not fit into the profile of Warren Buffett stock picks.  In fact, while most people are interested in what Warren Buffett is buying, it is also important to underscore the importance of not making bad deals.  You can do so by not investing in complicated investment vehicles that you do not understand. 

In real life, most people would not get into a business they do not understand.  However, for some reason, people think it is perfectly acceptable to buy shares in a company they do not understand.  And don’t think that this mental illness is restricted to everyday folk.  It was prevalent on Wall Street – that was how we got into the credit mess with “sophisticated” asset backed commercial papers that no one could unravel.  It got lots of banks in trouble which spilled onto main street.  The rule of thumb is if you can’t explain what it is, don’t invest in it.  Sometimes, it’s not the trades you make but the trades that you don’t make that are important.